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LibSpeak: The soap opera of American politics

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Tuesday, 19 August 2025

Written by Lib Campbell

Guiding Light was a 15-minute radio soap opera in 1937. In 1952, it moved to television as a fifteen-minute show, expanding to thirty minutes in 1968, becoming a one-hour show on November 7, 1977. Guiding Light aired 57 years until its cancellation in 2009.
A lot of us grew up with Guiding Light. I remember Mother watching it regularly from the early ‘50s. We knew the families. The Spauldings and the Chamberlains were prominent.
Kim Zimmer, who played Reva Shayne, was the longest-running cast member. She was on the show from 1985 until her final retirement in 2008. Reva was beautiful, naughty and nice, at the center of many of the plots.
On Guiding Light, we got a taste of the wild side. There were illicit marital relationships, stolen identities, embezzlements, out of wedlock children. Revenge out the wazoo. People came back from the dead, only to get killed again. There were corrupt businesses, a lot of grift and deceit. People were in and out of jail. Family squabbles filled the storyline. There was much back-stabbing and running around. No one went unscathed.
Guiding Light was an hour of life in another world, one with a dark underbelly, that provided entertainment in its twists and turns of beautiful people, some of whom were on very dark paths. Thankfully, it was only an hour, and we could turn it off before it swallowed us.
The television soap opera had no real-world consequences.
We are living in a soap opera world today. There is no turning it off. There are real-world, real-life consequences that a lot of us did not sign up for.
The dirty dealing, revenge, and meanness of life 24-7 is sad and wearying. The revenge policy is shocking, and the treatment of immigrants is abhorrent. Taking portraits of Obama and Clinton off the walls of the White House is just plain silly and immature. Joe Biden’s portrait will likely never see the light of day.
The soap opera plot is acted out every day in a gilded Trump world. Many of the Cabinet and other heads of state are made-for-television actors. More than a few are, in fact, television personalities. Hot off the airwaves of FOX and Newsmax. They are talking heads with zero experience in governing, making decisions for the pleasure of Trump and in the hope of getting clicks. They play to every fifteen-minute news cycle.
David Brooks recently wrote an article about how most of the world is more optimistic than Americans are today. American hope and optimism after WWII stabilized the world and the world economy for the past 75 years. All the problems were not solved, but people felt like we were on an upward trajectory of prosperity and opportunity for all Americans.
Today, we live somewhere between Alice in Wonderland and Hunger Games. We are falling down the rabbit hole into an uncertain future.
Every news cycle brings new drama. Sending National Guard troops to patrol Washington, DC is this week’s show. There is no unrest in DC requiring additional policing. There is, however, a Black Democratic woman who serves as Mayor. Reason enough.
Guiding Light had provocative sexual innuendo. The actors in the Trump soap opera were not play acting. Jeffrey Epstein’s story is dirty business, predatory porn on a grand scale. Young women exploited and abused by powerful men, possibly including the president. If he weren’t in the files, why would he protest seeing them released? Me thinks he doth protest too much!
Every day that the Epstein files are not released, another swipe of bad governance appears to attempt to distract us from the reality that the Epstein drama is bad.
We are finding it hard to change channels on this drama.
What can we do now? We cannot turn off and tune out.
Now is a time for bold braveness. Don’t wait for the other guy to take on the drama. Be the force you want to see. Be the voice you want to hear.
Who are the ones that will be our Guiding Light? We need some heroes in our search for tomorrow.

Editor’s note: Lib Campbell is a retired Methodist pastor, retreat leader, columnist and host of the blogsite www.avirtualchurch.com. She can be contacted at libcam05@gmail.com

Troy's Perspective: Voting demographics in Fayetteville

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Tuesday, 12 August 2025

Written by Troy Williams

In the past decade, Fayetteville has established itself as a "black-majority city," with African Americans constituting a clear majority of the population. According to 2020 U.S. Census data, approximately 42% of the city's residents are African American, while 38% are White.
Additionally, African Americans have a higher number of registered voters. Fayetteville becomes part of a growing number of 1,262 black-majority cities, which have increased by more than 100 in the last decade. What factors are driving this significant shift in population? There are various factors to consider.
For example, Black Americans have been relocating from Northern and Western cities to smaller Southern towns, reversing the trend of the Great Migration from the 20th Century.
However, none may be as striking as the phenomenon known as white flight. While the term "white flight" specifically refers to the movement of White residents from neighborhoods that are becoming more racially diverse, it is essential to recognize that middle-class Black families are also relocating in search of better housing, schools, and amenities.
The emergence of a new Black majority is bringing about a significant change in the political landscape. Fayetteville's African American mayor, Mitch Colvin, who is seeking re-election to a fifth term and is the only member of the Council elected at-large, enjoys a solid majority Black voter base. Furthermore, a significant number of African Americans believe that the mayor's office should represent and empower Black voices within the community.
It will be interesting to see how voters respond to Colvin's re-election bid, as three African American women are challenging him for the position.
The significance of the Black vote in Fayetteville is crucial and cannot be overlooked. Winning a city-wide election will be nearly impossible without securing a majority of this voter bloc.
Younger Black voters are more likely to register as unaffiliated and are less inclined to view the Democratic party as having sole ownership of the African American community. Black youth often vote at lower rates than other young people, making them less of a reliable voting bloc. The relationship between the established Black voters and newcomers is complex.
The younger generation seeks solutions to real-world issues and is less focused on racial politics. This type of diverse thinking is likely to benefit Fayetteville City Councilman Mario Benavente as he makes his first attempt at running for mayor. Benavente is young and has concentrated on issues such as fair policing and racial equity, which resonate with a younger demographic.
With a majority of Black voters, one might question the necessity of majority-minority representative districts.
They were created over forty years ago, when the majority of Fayetteville's population was white, and the political representation reflected this demographic. Will Fayetteville consider making adjustments to allow other forms of at-large representation besides the mayor, given the changing demographics of elected officeholders?

Democrats will soon fall to third place

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Tuesday, 19 August 2025

Written by John Hood

The likely Democratic nominee for North Carolina’s Senate race next year, former Gov. Roy Cooper, led likely Republican nominee Michael Whatley by six points in the first independent poll commissioned after the two men announced their campaigns last month.
Of course he does. Cooper has been on statewide ballots for decades. Whatley, a first-time candidate who chairs the Republican National Committee, isn’t as well known.
On the other hand, Cooper’s 47% to 41% margin in the latest Emerson College poll isn’t particularly impressive. North Carolina is a closely divided state. Setting aside Josh Stein’s remarkably good fortune last year, most of our statewide races have been and will continue to be decided by small margins.
So, Cooper’s six-point edge in the poll isn’t what caught my eye. It was the partisan breakdown of the Emerson College sample: 36% Republican, 33% unaffiliated, 31% Democrat. If I got in my time machine and went back 30 years to chat with 1995 me, he’d say the sample was badly skewed and suggest I toss it aside. Democrats rank third in party affiliation, behind Republicans and independent? No way, my dark-haired, wrinkle-free doppelganger would insist.
And he’d be dead wrong.
It’s true that, with regard to voter registration, the state’s former majority party hasn’t yet fallen so far. As of last week, 30.6% of North Carolina’s 7.6 million voters were registered as Democrats. Republicans made up 30.4%. Unaffiliated voters already comprise a plurality at 38.4%.
The underlying math has an inexorable logic, however. We don’t have to go back 30 years to see it. Half that time will do it. In 2010, Democrats made up 45% of the electorate. Republicans were 32%, independents 23%. Since then, the independent category has grown by 1.5 million and the GOP by nearly 350,000, while Democratic registrations shrank by more than 450,000.
Sure, it will still take several months for the Ds to slip to third place. But the 2026 election is months away, more than a year away. By then, the streams will have crossed.
Democratic activists are right to feel trepidation about this. But Republican activists ought to restrain their glee. Despite these registration trends, GOP candidates for governor have won precisely one election in the past 30 years. Democrats currently hold half of North Carolina’s 10 statewide executive offices. Within a few years, the Republican majority on the state supreme court could disappear. In federal elections, North Carolina leans red, yes, but not by much. (I prefer a different color coding for the Tar Heel State, a reddish purple known as “flirt.”)
And, to return focus to the Senate race, Cooper starts the 2026 contest with an edge over Whatley even with Democratic registration lower than Republican registration!
That’s because unaffiliated voters aren’t necessarily, or even usually, undecided voters. Many are Democratic or Republican in all but name. In North Carolina, each party starts with a base of support north of 40%. To win, they must maximize turnout and contest the small but decisive share of swing voters truly up for grabs.
The conventional wisdom used to be that Republicans were somewhat more likely to turn out than Democrats, and thus enjoyed a structural advantage in midterm elections, when overall turnout tends to be lower.
Now the conventional wisdom is that because the rise of Donald Trump scrambled the party coalitions, with high-propensity suburban voters shifting blue and low-propensity rural voters shifting red, Republicans have lost that structural advantage. Lower overall turnout is good for Democrats, it’s posited.
I never bought the conventional wisdom in the first place, having searched for and failed to find any consistent relationship between midterm turnout and partisan outcomes in past North Carolina elections. So I’m not prepared to accept the new conventional “wisdom,” either, without more evidence.
If public sentiment turns against the party in the White House, as it often does, Roy Cooper might well win. Registration trends are hardly the only ones that matter.

Editor’s note: John Hood is a John Locke Foundation board member. His books Mountain Folk, Forest Folk, and Water Folk combine epic fantasy with American history (FolkloreCycle.com).

Pitt Dickey asks: What could go wrong?

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Tuesday, 12 August 2025

Written by Pitt Dickey

Tired of good news? You have come to the right place. Like Creedence Clearwater, I see bad news rising. I see troubles on the way. There’s a bad moon on the rise. We have it all.
Swarms of Earthquakes. Tsunamis. Wars. Rumors of wars. Fires. Floods. Sidney Sweeney’s jeans. Nuclear reactors on the moon. Danish Zoos feeding used up pets to lions. Volcanoes waking up. Still not enough for you? How about a giant alien spacecraft heading for Earth in late November just in time for Black Friday? If you think regular human illegal aliens are bad, wait until the illegal Space Aliens arrive.
That’s right, saddle pals. Cosmic troubles are heading right at us. No less an authority than the legendary blind Bulgarian psychic Baba Vanga predicted aliens would contact the Earth in 2025.
If you don’t believe in blind Bulgarian psychics (and you should), consider Harvard Astrophysicist, the esteemed Professor Avi Loeb. Dr Loeb reports that Interstellar Object 31/ATLAS is coming for our neighborhood at the rate of 130,000 miles per hour. That’s faster than Buffalo wings disappear at an all-you-can-eat buffet.
31/ATLAS is a big boy, 15 miles across, larger than Manhattan. Even bigger than Andre the Giant. ATLAS is coming from outside the galaxy with a speed and trajectory, Dr. Loeb says indicates it could be an alien Mothership.
ATLAS will fly by Jupiter, Mars, and Venus, allowing it to send probes into each of those planets on its way to Earth. When ATLAS gets closest to the Sun (Bonus science word of the day: Perihelion), it will be on the opposite side of the Sun from Earth, where it can’t be seen by our telescopes.
Dr. Loeb reports this position could be a deliberate strategy by the alien Mothership to deploy weapons or probes to either invade or zap the Earth. If you think Cartman had a bad time when he was probed by aliens, you ain’t seen nothing yet.
Ever heard of the “dark forest hypothesis”? This is the theory that advanced alien civilizations are intentionally concealing their existence from Earth because we are dangerous lunatics. The dark forest may be about to rip open a giant clear-cutting of the Earth by ATLAS. If Dr. Loeb is right, instead of a boring comet, ATLAS could be a cosmic Trojan Horse. Remember the Twilight Zone episode To Serve Man?
Seemingly friendly space aliens come to Earth to offer rides back to their home planet, where life is beautiful, the space girls are beautiful, and even the orchestra is beautiful. Unfortunately, their guidebook “To Serve Man” turns out to be a cookbook.
Dr. Loeb warns that if ATLAS is a Mothership, “It may come to save us or to destroy us. We better be ready for both options and determine if all interstellar objects are just rocks.” The perihelion date of 29 October is no coincidence.
It coincides with the anniversary of the collapse of the stock market on Black Tuesday 1929. If the aliens have a sick sense of humor, they may have intentionally picked that date to deploy the probes from behind the sun to attack the Earth. Like Congresspersons, the aliens may be manipulating the stock market by selling it short right before launching the probes to collapse your 401K.
Before you panic, not every astrophysicist agrees with Dr. Loeb. Some soreheads at the University of Regina in Canada contend ATLAS is just a plain old comet. But we can’t trust Canada, can we?
Those Maple Leaf Clusters are probably in league with ATLAS to hit the good old USA by scooping up all red-blooded Americans into some cosmic stew pot. The Canadians will just walk across the border to take all our stuff. The horror. The horror. Science misinformation about ATLAS gets even worse. Professor Chris Lintott of Oxford University is quoted as saying that Dr. Loeb’s theory is “nonsense on stilts,” that ATLAS is just a comet.
Other than UNC’s Bill Belichick’s relationship with the beautiful Jordon, I personally have never seen nonsense on stilts, so I am looking forward to it.
So, what’s it gonna be? A boring comet or the Mother of all Motherships? Baba Vanga and Dr. Loeb have their answer. Apply Blaise Paschal’s wager on the existence of God. Blaise said: “It is smarter to believe in God because the benefits are much greater than the losses if you are wrong.”
Watch what the Congresspersons do in late October. If they are selling stocks short, the interstellar poop is about to hit the fan.
Past performance is no guarantee of future results.

(Illustration by Pitt Dickey)